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Jerami Grant vs Mitchell Robinson: who to start in Week 1

Jerami Grant plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Jerami Grant: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 44.4 for Mitchell Robinson. Over the season, Jerami Grant leads in both formats: 27.0 fantasy points a game to 22.2, and 158th against 160th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 10:27 AM ET.

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Jerami Grant
PFSFMEMage 32
Points leagues
#114
27.0 FP/G, slot 10.06, $7
9-cat leagues
#158
-2.5 z, slot 14.02

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

Points leagues
#165
22.2 FP/G, slot 14.09
9-cat leagues
#160
-2.6 z, slot 14.04

The call

Points leagues: Jerami Grant. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 22.2, 114th on our board to 165th.

9-cat leagues: Jerami Grant again, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -2.6 (158th to 160th).

Category by category, Jerami Grant is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Mitchell Robinson produces more: 40.6 fantasy points to 33.3, on 19.7 minutes a night against 29.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jerami Grant plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Jerami Grant: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 44.4 for Mitchell Robinson.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJerami GrantMitchell Robinson
Fantasy points per game27.022.2
Minutes29.219.7
PointsPTS17.65.5
ReboundsREB3.28.1
AssistsAST2.20.9
StealsSTL0.80.9
BlocksBLK0.71.2
Threes3PM2.30.0
Field goal %FG%44.3%71.7%
Free throw %FT%81.7%37.8%
TurnoversTO2.10.7
Games, 2025-265760

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jerami GrantMitchell Robinson
Fantasy points33.340.6
Points21.810.0
Rebounds3.914.9
Assists2.81.7
Steals0.91.6
Blocks0.82.2
Threes2.80.0
Turnovers2.61.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJerami GrantMitchell Robinson
PointsPTS+0.2-1.9
ReboundsREB-1.2+1.1
AssistsAST-0.7-1.3
StealsSTL-0.7-0.4
BlocksBLK-0.0+1.1
Threes3PM+0.7-1.7
Field goal percentageFG%-0.9+1.3
Free throw percentageFT%+0.4-2.1
TurnoversTO-0.3+1.4
Total-2.5-2.6

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting points, assists, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Mitchell Robinson.

PuntJerami GrantMitchell Robinson
PTS-2.8 (#203)-0.7 (#93)
REB-1.5 (#120)-4.1 (#261)
AST-1.9 (#145)-1.3 (#117)
STL-1.9 (#140)-2.3 (#155)
BLK-2.7 (#154)-4.1 (#235)
3PM-3.2 (#193)-0.8 (#85)
FG%-1.8 (#113)-4.9 (#248)
FT%-2.9 (#177)-0.3 (#71)
TO-2.2 (#117)-4.2 (#186)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jerami Grant: 3 games (Wed UTA, Fri @GSW, Sun @SAC).
  • Mitchell Robinson: 2 games (Tue @DET, Fri NYK).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Jerami Grant: 19.7 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 27.0 on the board.
  • Mitchell Robinson: 15.5 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 22.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jerami Grant playing tonight? · Is Mitchell Robinson playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Mitchell Robinson

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jerami Grant or Mitchell Robinson?

    Points leagues: Jerami Grant. 27.0 fantasy points per game against 22.2, 114th on our board to 165th. 9-cat leagues: Jerami Grant again, -2.5 in summed z-scores against -2.6 (158th to 160th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jerami Grant or Mitchell Robinson?

    Category by category, Jerami Grant is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Mitchell Robinson in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jerami Grant or Mitchell Robinson?

    Jerami Grant plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Mitchell Robinson 2. For that week alone, start Jerami Grant: 81.1 projected fantasy points to 44.4 for Mitchell Robinson.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 10:27 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number