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Joel Embiid vs Kawhi Leonard: who to draft in 2026-27

Draft Kawhi Leonard in both formats: 45.7 fantasy points a game to 44.5 in points leagues, and 4th against 22nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 box scores, not ADP.

Joel Embiid
CPHIage 32DTD
Points leagues
#11
44.5 FP/G, slot 1.11, $33
9-cat leagues
#22
+2.5 z, slot 2.10, $29

Day to day (Rest)

Kawhi Leonard
SFSGTORage 35
Points leagues
#9
45.7 FP/G, slot 1.09, $34
9-cat leagues
#4
+7.2 z, slot 1.04, $54

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: draft Kawhi Leonard. 45.7 fantasy points per game against 44.5, 9th on our board to 11th.

9-cat leagues: Kawhi Leonard again, +7.2 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (4th to 22nd).

Category by category, Joel Embiid is ahead in 3 (REB, AST and BLK) and Kawhi Leonard in 6 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Kawhi Leonard produces more: 51.3 fantasy points to 50.6, on 32.1 minutes a night against 31.6. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Joel Embiid plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kawhi Leonard 3. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 177.9 projected fantasy points to 137.2 for Kawhi Leonard.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

Per game, side by side

Per gameJoel EmbiidKawhi Leonard
Fantasy points per game44.545.7
Minutes31.632.1
PointsPTS26.927.9
ReboundsREB7.76.4
AssistsAST3.93.6
StealsSTL0.61.9
BlocksBLK1.20.4
Threes3PM1.42.6
Field goal %FG%48.9%50.5%
Free throw %FT%85.4%89.2%
TurnoversTO2.92.0
Games, 2025-263865

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Joel EmbiidKawhi Leonard
Fantasy points50.651.3
Points30.631.3
Rebounds8.87.1
Assists4.54.0
Steals0.62.1
Blocks1.40.5
Threes1.63.0
Turnovers3.32.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJoel EmbiidKawhi Leonard
PointsPTS+1.8+2.0
ReboundsREB+0.8+0.2
AssistsAST+0.1-0.0
StealsSTL-1.3+2.4
BlocksBLK+1.1-0.6
Threes3PM-0.3+1.0
Field goal percentageFG%+0.1+0.5
Free throw percentageFT%+1.5+1.8
TurnoversTO-1.3-0.2
Total+2.5+7.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Kawhi Leonard stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntJoel EmbiidKawhi Leonard
PTS+0.7 (#38)+5.1 (#4)
REB+1.6 (#28)+7.1 (#4)
AST+2.3 (#19)+7.0 (#3)
STL+3.8 (#11)+4.7 (#4)
BLK+1.4 (#34)+7.9 (#3)
3PM+2.6 (#17)+5.9 (#4)
FG%+2.5 (#24)+7.1 (#4)
FT%+0.9 (#41)+5.2 (#5)
TO+3.8 (#17)+7.5 (#6)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 406 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Joel Embiid: 4 games (Tue @NYK, Thu CLE, Sat MIL, Sun DET), 1 back-to-back, listed DTD.
  • Kawhi Leonard: 3 games (Wed CHI, Fri @WAS, Sun @MIN).

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Joel Embiid: 48.0 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 44.5 on the board.
  • Kawhi Leonard: 41.2 fantasy points a game over his last 10 of 2025-26, against 45.7 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Common questions

  • Should I draft Joel Embiid or Kawhi Leonard in 2026-27?

    Points leagues: draft Kawhi Leonard. 45.7 fantasy points per game against 44.5, 9th on our board to 11th. 9-cat leagues: Kawhi Leonard again, +7.2 in summed z-scores against +2.5 (4th to 22nd).

  • Who wins more categories, Joel Embiid or Kawhi Leonard?

    Category by category, Joel Embiid is ahead in 3 (REB, AST and BLK) and Kawhi Leonard in 6 (PTS, STL, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Joel Embiid or Kawhi Leonard?

    Joel Embiid plays 4 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Kawhi Leonard 3. For that week alone, start Joel Embiid: 177.9 projected fantasy points to 137.2 for Kawhi Leonard.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 13, 2026 at 5:20 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number