Keaton Wagler vs Mikal Bridges: who to start in Week 3
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mikal Bridges 3. For that week alone, start Mikal Bridges: 76.7 projected fantasy points to 73.0 for Keaton Wagler. Over the season, Mikal Bridges leads in both formats: 25.6 fantasy points a game to 24.3, and 93rd against 252nd in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Nov 3, 12:36 AM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #155
- 24.3 FP/G, slot 13.11, $1
- 9-cat leagues
- #252
- -4.8 z, slot 21.12
- Points leagues
- #142
- 25.6 FP/G, slot 12.10, $3
- 9-cat leagues
- #93
- -0.9 z, slot 8.09, $10
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Mikal Bridges. 25.6 fantasy points per game against 24.3, 142nd on our board to 155th.
9-cat leagues: Mikal Bridges again, -0.9 in summed z-scores against -4.8 (93rd to 252nd).
Category by category, Keaton Wagler is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and FT%) and Mikal Bridges in 4 (STL, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Keaton Wagler produces more: 35.0 fantasy points to 29.4, on 25.0 minutes a night against 31.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mikal Bridges 3. For that week alone, start Mikal Bridges: 76.7 projected fantasy points to 73.0 for Keaton Wagler.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
Per game, side by side
| Per game | Keaton Wagler | Mikal Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 24.3 | 25.6 |
| Minutes | 25.0 | 31.3 |
| PointsPTS | 13.2 | 12.0 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| AssistsAST | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Threes3PM | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Field goal %FG% | 28.1% | 45.8% |
| Free throw %FT% | 88.1% | 82.7% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 0 | 82 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Keaton Wagler | Mikal Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 35.0 | 29.4 |
| Points | 19.0 | 13.9 |
| Rebounds | 6.5 | 4.1 |
| Assists | 5.0 | 3.7 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Blocks | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Threes | 2.4 | 1.9 |
| Turnovers | 3.6 | 1.1 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
9-category z-scores
| Category | Keaton Wagler | Mikal Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -0.6 | -0.8 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.6 | -1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.1 | -0.3 |
| StealsSTL | -0.6 | +0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | -0.1 |
| Threes3PM | -0.0 | +0.0 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -3.0 | -0.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +1.8 | +0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.7 | +1.2 |
| Total | -4.8 | -0.9 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
No punt changes the answer: Mikal Bridges stays ahead whichever category you give up.
| Punt | Keaton Wagler | Mikal Bridges |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -4.2 (#304) | -0.2 (#70) |
| REB | -4.3 (#273) | -0.1 (#63) |
| AST | -4.7 (#292) | -0.8 (#84) |
| STL | -4.1 (#261) | -1.4 (#111) |
| BLK | -4.0 (#219) | -1.0 (#96) |
| 3PM | -4.8 (#288) | -1.0 (#95) |
| FG% | -1.9 (#122) | -0.6 (#79) |
| FT% | -6.6 (#343) | -1.1 (#99) |
| TO | -4.2 (#180) | -2.3 (#120) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.
Week 3 (Nov 2-8)
- Keaton Wagler: 3 games (Mon TOR, Wed MIA, Sun NOP), 1 back-to-back.
- Mikal Bridges: 3 games (Mon BKN, Wed CHI, Sat @CLE).
Recent games
- Keaton Wagler: 21.5 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 24.3 on the board.
- Mikal Bridges: 15.0 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 25.6 on the board.
Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Keaton Wagler playing tonight? · Is Mikal Bridges playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Keaton Wagler
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keaton Wagler or Mikal Bridges?
Points leagues: Mikal Bridges. 25.6 fantasy points per game against 24.3, 142nd on our board to 155th. 9-cat leagues: Mikal Bridges again, -0.9 in summed z-scores against -4.8 (93rd to 252nd).
Who wins more categories, Keaton Wagler or Mikal Bridges?
Category by category, Keaton Wagler is ahead in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and FT%) and Mikal Bridges in 4 (STL, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 3, Keaton Wagler or Mikal Bridges?
Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Mikal Bridges 3. For that week alone, start Mikal Bridges: 76.7 projected fantasy points to 73.0 for Keaton Wagler.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 3, 2026 at 12:36 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number