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Keaton Wagler vs Tari Eason: who to start in Week 3

Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tari Eason 3. For that week alone, start Keaton Wagler: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.7 for Tari Eason. Over the season, Keaton Wagler leads in points leagues (24.3 fantasy points a game to 24.2) and Tari Eason in 9-cat leagues (133rd against 252nd). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Nov 2, 8:35 PM ET.

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Keaton Wagler
PGSGLACage 19
Points leagues
#155
24.3 FP/G, slot 13.11, $1
9-cat leagues
#252
-4.8 z, slot 21.12

The pick in points leagues.

Tari Eason
SGSFHOUage 25
Points leagues
#157
24.2 FP/G, slot 14.01
9-cat leagues
#133
-2.0 z, slot 12.01, $4

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Keaton Wagler. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 24.2, 155th on our board to 157th.

9-cat leagues: Tari Eason instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -4.8 (133rd to 252nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Keaton Wagler is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Tari Eason in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Keaton Wagler produces more: 35.0 fantasy points to 34.5, on 25.0 minutes a night against 25.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tari Eason 3. For that week alone, start Keaton Wagler: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.7 for Tari Eason.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameKeaton WaglerTari Eason
Fantasy points per game24.324.2
Minutes25.025.3
PointsPTS13.210.3
ReboundsREB4.56.2
AssistsAST3.51.3
StealsSTL0.81.2
BlocksBLK0.20.7
Threes3PM1.71.2
Field goal %FG%28.1%42.5%
Free throw %FT%88.1%85.0%
TurnoversTO2.51.3
Games, 2025-26060

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Keaton WaglerTari Eason
Fantasy points35.034.5
Points19.014.7
Rebounds6.58.9
Assists5.01.9
Steals1.21.7
Blocks0.21.0
Threes2.41.8
Turnovers3.61.8

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryKeaton WaglerTari Eason
PointsPTS-0.6-1.1
ReboundsREB-0.6+0.2
AssistsAST-0.1-1.2
StealsSTL-0.6+0.3
BlocksBLK-1.0+0.1
Threes3PM-0.0-0.5
Field goal percentageFG%-3.0-0.8
Free throw percentageFT%+1.8+0.2
TurnoversTO-0.7+0.8
Total-4.8-2.0

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Tari Eason stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntKeaton WaglerTari Eason
PTS-4.2 (#304)-0.9 (#99)
REB-4.3 (#273)-2.3 (#152)
AST-4.7 (#292)-0.8 (#86)
STL-4.1 (#261)-2.3 (#160)
BLK-4.0 (#219)-2.3 (#141)
3PM-4.8 (#288)-1.5 (#118)
FG%-1.9 (#122)-1.3 (#103)
FT%-6.6 (#343)-2.2 (#152)
TO-4.2 (#180)-3.0 (#141)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 432 ranked players.

Week 3 (Nov 2-8)

  • Keaton Wagler: 3 games (Mon TOR, Wed MIA, Sun NOP), 1 back-to-back.
  • Tari Eason: 3 games (Mon BOS, Wed MIN, Sat @PHX).

Every team's games this week · Week 3 streamers

Recent games

  • Keaton Wagler: 24.3 fantasy points a game over his last 6 of 2026-27, against 24.3 on the board.
  • Tari Eason: 25.0 fantasy points a game over his last 7 of 2026-27, against 24.2 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Keaton Wagler playing tonight? · Is Tari Eason playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Keaton Wagler, Tari Eason

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Keaton Wagler or Tari Eason?

    Points leagues: Keaton Wagler. 24.3 fantasy points per game against 24.2, 155th on our board to 157th. 9-cat leagues: Tari Eason instead, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -4.8 (133rd to 252nd), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Keaton Wagler or Tari Eason?

    Category by category, Keaton Wagler is ahead in 4 (PTS, AST, 3PM and FT%) and Tari Eason in 5 (REB, STL, BLK, FG% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 3, Keaton Wagler or Tari Eason?

    Keaton Wagler plays 3 games in Week 3 (Nov 2-8), Tari Eason 3. For that week alone, start Keaton Wagler: 73.0 projected fantasy points to 72.7 for Tari Eason.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Nov 2, 2026 at 8:35 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number