Start Bo Nix or Kyler Murray? Week 9

Our Week 9 call

Start Kyler Murray over Bo Nix in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Kyler Murray at 17.4 points and Bo Nix at 16.0, a gap of 1.5. No player market is posted for Kyler Murray this week yet, so his 17.4 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 7 and 8 (17.3 and 17.6); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Kyler Murray at ADP 139 and Bo Nix at 116.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.0 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Bo Nix is 210 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 15 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (10, 12, 10 and 11 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Kyler Murray yet. His market-based projections were 17.3 and 17.6 points in Weeks 7 and 8, an average of 17.4, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Kyler Murray 1.5 points ahead of Bo Nix on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit CAR on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CAR allowed 17.4 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 220 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against CAR, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

Kyler Murray and MIN host BUF on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 19.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2.1 touchdowns a game against BUF, with 0.6 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Kyler Murray has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Kyler Murray is listed as questionable with a hamstring injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 268 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 5 against LAC: 62 of 62 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 123 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 10 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 6 against SEA: 60 of 60 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 107 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 7 against ARI: 61 of 61 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 222 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 75 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 8 against KC: 62 of 62 snaps, 20 of 32 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Through Week 8, Kyler Murray played 86 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 184 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 5 against NO: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 29 passes for 229 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 54 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 7 against IND: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 24 passes for 150 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 41 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 8 against DET: 53 of 53 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 210 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 3 carries for 36 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Bo Nix over Bryce Young.
• Start Caleb Williams over Bo Nix.
• Start Kyler Murray over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray.
• Start Kyler Murray over Bryce Young.