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Brook Lopez vs Stephon Castle: who to start in Week 1

Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.5 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Brook Lopez. Over the season, Stephon Castle leads in points leagues (34.8 fantasy points a game to 21.1) and Brook Lopez in 9-cat leagues (145th against 146th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 24, 8:26 AM ET.

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Brook Lopez
CLACage 38
Points leagues
#190
21.1 FP/G, slot 16.10
9-cat leagues
#145
-2.2 z, slot 13.01, $2

The pick in 9-cat leagues.

Stephon Castle
SGPGSASage 21
Points leagues
#50
34.8 FP/G, slot 5.02, $19
9-cat leagues
#146
-2.2 z, slot 13.02, $2

The pick in points leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Stephon Castle. 34.8 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 50th on our board to 190th.

9-cat leagues: Brook Lopez instead, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (145th to 146th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

Category by category, Brook Lopez is ahead in 4 (BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and STL).

Per 36 minutes, Stephon Castle produces more: 41.7 fantasy points to 34.5, on 30.0 minutes a night against 22.0. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.

Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.5 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Brook Lopez.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameBrook LopezStephon Castle
Fantasy points per game21.134.8
Minutes22.030.0
PointsPTS9.817.0
ReboundsREB4.15.5
AssistsAST1.26.9
StealsSTL0.61.1
BlocksBLK1.30.2
Threes3PM1.51.5
Field goal %FG%47.4%46.2%
Free throw %FT%78.9%72.9%
TurnoversTO1.03.1
Games, 2025-267568

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Brook LopezStephon Castle
Fantasy points34.541.7
Points16.020.4
Rebounds6.76.6
Assists2.08.2
Steals1.01.3
Blocks2.10.3
Threes2.51.8
Turnovers1.63.7

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryBrook LopezStephon Castle
PointsPTS-1.1+0.1
ReboundsREB-0.8-0.1
AssistsAST-1.2+1.7
StealsSTL-1.2+0.1
BlocksBLK+1.2-0.9
Threes3PM-0.1-0.1
Field goal percentageFG%-0.1-0.5
Free throw percentageFT%-0.0-1.1
TurnoversTO+1.1-1.5
Total-2.2-2.2

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

Punting blocks, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Stephon Castle.

PuntBrook LopezStephon Castle
PTS-1.1 (#115)-2.4 (#193)
REB-1.6 (#124)-2.5 (#162)
AST-1.1 (#106)-4.0 (#242)
STL-1.2 (#106)-2.4 (#160)
BLK-3.7 (#207)-1.6 (#112)
3PM-2.1 (#144)-2.2 (#148)
FG%-2.3 (#134)-2.4 (#141)
FT%-2.2 (#147)-1.2 (#105)
TO-3.5 (#157)-0.8 (#72)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Brook Lopez: 3 games (Wed SAC, Fri @LAL, Sun @OKC).
  • Stephon Castle: 3 games (Tue OKC, Fri HOU, Sat @DAL), 1 back-to-back.

Every team's games this week · Week 1 streamers

Recent games

  • Brook Lopez: 34.8 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 21.1 on the board.
  • Stephon Castle: 31.9 fantasy points a game over his last 2 of 2026-27, against 34.8 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Brook Lopez playing tonight? · Is Stephon Castle playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Stephon Castle

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Brook Lopez or Stephon Castle?

    Points leagues: Stephon Castle. 34.8 fantasy points per game against 21.1, 50th on our board to 190th. 9-cat leagues: Brook Lopez instead, -2.2 in summed z-scores against -2.2 (145th to 146th), because the categories pay for a different mix.

  • Who wins more categories, Brook Lopez or Stephon Castle?

    Category by category, Brook Lopez is ahead in 4 (BLK, FG%, FT% and TO) and Stephon Castle in 4 (PTS, REB, AST and STL).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Brook Lopez or Stephon Castle?

    Brook Lopez plays 3 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Stephon Castle 3. For that week alone, start Stephon Castle: 104.5 projected fantasy points to 63.2 for Brook Lopez.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 24, 2026 at 8:26 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number