Egor Dëmin vs Marvin Bagley III: who to start in Week 2
Egor Dëmin plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3. For that week alone, start Egor Dëmin: 61.2 projected fantasy points to 60.6 for Marvin Bagley III. Over the season, Egor Dëmin leads in points leagues (20.4 fantasy points a game to 20.2) and Marvin Bagley III in 9-cat leagues (209th against 211th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #195
- 20.4 FP/G, slot 17.03
- 9-cat leagues
- #211
- -4.1 z, slot 18.07
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #198
- 20.2 FP/G, slot 17.06
- 9-cat leagues
- #209
- -4.1 z, slot 18.05
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Egor Dëmin. 20.4 fantasy points per game against 20.2, 195th on our board to 198th.
9-cat leagues: Marvin Bagley III instead, -4.1 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (209th to 211th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Egor Dëmin is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Marvin Bagley III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Marvin Bagley III produces more: 39.5 fantasy points to 29.1, on 18.4 minutes a night against 25.2. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Egor Dëmin plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3. For that week alone, start Egor Dëmin: 61.2 projected fantasy points to 60.6 for Marvin Bagley III.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Egor Dëmin | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.4 | 20.2 |
| Minutes | 25.2 | 18.4 |
| PointsPTS | 10.2 | 9.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.1 | 5.6 |
| AssistsAST | 3.3 | 1.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.7 |
| Threes3PM | 2.3 | 0.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 38.3% | 61.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 87.7% | 66.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 52 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Egor Dëmin | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 29.1 | 39.5 |
| Points | 14.6 | 18.6 |
| Rebounds | 4.4 | 10.9 |
| Assists | 4.7 | 2.4 |
| Steals | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 1.3 |
| Threes | 3.3 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 2.5 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Egor Dëmin | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.1 | -1.2 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.2 | -0.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.2 | -1.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.5 | -1.7 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.0 |
| Threes3PM | +0.7 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.5 | +1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | +0.4 | -1.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +0.1 | +1.1 |
| Total | -4.1 | -4.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, blocks, field goal percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Egor Dëmin.
| Punt | Egor Dëmin | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -3.0 (#221) | -2.8 (#205) |
| REB | -3.0 (#183) | -4.3 (#260) |
| AST | -4.0 (#241) | -2.8 (#187) |
| STL | -3.7 (#214) | -2.4 (#157) |
| BLK | -3.4 (#188) | -4.3 (#236) |
| 3PM | -4.8 (#264) | -2.6 (#170) |
| FG% | -2.6 (#144) | -6.1 (#294) |
| FT% | -4.5 (#229) | -3.0 (#181) |
| TO | -4.3 (#184) | -5.3 (#220) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Egor Dëmin: 3 games (Tue @BOS, Fri DET, Sun @IND).
- Marvin Bagley III: 3 games (Mon GSW, Wed @NOP, Fri @PHX).
Recent games
- Egor Dëmin: 15.6 fantasy points a game over his last 4 of 2026-27, against 20.4 on the board.
- Marvin Bagley III: 9.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 20.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Egor Dëmin playing tonight? · Is Marvin Bagley III playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Egor Dëmin
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Egor Dëmin or Marvin Bagley III?
Points leagues: Egor Dëmin. 20.4 fantasy points per game against 20.2, 195th on our board to 198th. 9-cat leagues: Marvin Bagley III instead, -4.1 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (209th to 211th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Egor Dëmin or Marvin Bagley III?
Category by category, Egor Dëmin is ahead in 5 (PTS, AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Marvin Bagley III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 2, Egor Dëmin or Marvin Bagley III?
Egor Dëmin plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3. For that week alone, start Egor Dëmin: 61.2 projected fantasy points to 60.6 for Marvin Bagley III.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number