Kevin Huerter vs Marvin Bagley III: who to start in Week 2
Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3, an even 60.6 projected fantasy points each. Over the season, Marvin Bagley III leads in points leagues (20.2 fantasy points a game to 20.2) and Kevin Huerter in 9-cat leagues (199th against 209th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 27, 8:32 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #199
- 20.2 FP/G, slot 17.07
- 9-cat leagues
- #199
- -3.7 z, slot 17.07
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #198
- 20.2 FP/G, slot 17.06
- 9-cat leagues
- #209
- -4.1 z, slot 18.05
The pick in points leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Marvin Bagley III. 20.2 fantasy points per game against 20.2, 198th on our board to 199th.
9-cat leagues: Kevin Huerter instead, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (199th to 209th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Kevin Huerter is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Marvin Bagley III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Marvin Bagley III produces more: 39.5 fantasy points to 32.7, on 18.4 minutes a night against 22.3. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3, an even 60.6 projected fantasy points each.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Kevin Huerter | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 20.2 | 20.2 |
| Minutes | 22.3 | 18.4 |
| PointsPTS | 9.3 | 9.5 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.6 | 5.6 |
| AssistsAST | 2.5 | 1.2 |
| StealsSTL | 0.9 | 0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| Threes3PM | 1.4 | 0.3 |
| Field goal %FG% | 43.8% | 61.9% |
| Free throw %FT% | 77.5% | 66.1% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 69 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Kevin Huerter | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 32.7 | 39.5 |
| Points | 15.1 | 18.6 |
| Rebounds | 5.8 | 10.9 |
| Assists | 4.0 | 2.4 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.7 | 1.3 |
| Threes | 2.2 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.8 | 1.9 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Kevin Huerter | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.3 | -1.2 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | -0.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.6 | -1.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.4 | -1.7 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.5 | -0.0 |
| Threes3PM | -0.3 | -1.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -0.7 | +1.5 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.1 | -1.1 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.0 | +1.1 |
| Total | -3.7 | -4.1 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting assists, steals, threes and free throw percentage flips the 9-cat answer to Marvin Bagley III.
| Punt | Kevin Huerter | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -2.5 (#195) | -2.8 (#205) |
| REB | -2.9 (#180) | -4.3 (#260) |
| AST | -3.2 (#198) | -2.8 (#187) |
| STL | -3.4 (#197) | -2.4 (#157) |
| BLK | -3.4 (#193) | -4.3 (#236) |
| 3PM | -3.5 (#206) | -2.6 (#170) |
| FG% | -3.2 (#166) | -6.1 (#294) |
| FT% | -3.6 (#201) | -3.0 (#181) |
| TO | -4.8 (#200) | -5.3 (#220) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1)
- Kevin Huerter: 3 games (Tue @NYK, Wed CHA, Fri @BKN), 1 back-to-back.
- Marvin Bagley III: 3 games (Mon GSW, Wed @NOP, Fri @PHX).
Recent games
- Kevin Huerter: 15.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 20.2 on the board.
- Marvin Bagley III: 9.1 fantasy points a game over his last 3 of 2026-27, against 20.2 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Kevin Huerter playing tonight? · Is Marvin Bagley III playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Kevin Huerter or Marvin Bagley III?
Points leagues: Marvin Bagley III. 20.2 fantasy points per game against 20.2, 198th on our board to 199th. 9-cat leagues: Kevin Huerter instead, -3.7 in summed z-scores against -4.1 (199th to 209th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Kevin Huerter or Marvin Bagley III?
Category by category, Kevin Huerter is ahead in 4 (AST, STL, 3PM and FT%) and Marvin Bagley III in 4 (REB, BLK, FG% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 2, Kevin Huerter or Marvin Bagley III?
Kevin Huerter plays 3 games in Week 2 (Oct 26-Nov 1), Marvin Bagley III 3, an even 60.6 projected fantasy points each.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 27, 2026 at 8:32 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number