Jalen Green vs Jeremiah Fears: who to start in Week 1
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jeremiah Fears 3. For that week alone, start Jeremiah Fears: 76.0 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green. Over the season, Jalen Green leads in points leagues (27.4 fantasy points a game to 25.3) and Jeremiah Fears in 9-cat leagues (224th against 226th). The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 22, 1:54 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #112
- 27.4 FP/G, slot 10.04, $8
- 9-cat leagues
- #226
- -4.2 z, slot 19.10
The pick in points leagues.
- Points leagues
- #132
- 25.3 FP/G, slot 11.12, $4
- 9-cat leagues
- #224
- -4.2 z, slot 19.08
The pick in 9-cat leagues.
The call
Points leagues: Jalen Green. 27.4 fantasy points per game against 25.3, 112th on our board to 132nd.
9-cat leagues: Jeremiah Fears instead, -4.2 in summed z-scores against -4.2 (224th to 226th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Category by category, Jalen Green is ahead in 2 (PTS and 3PM) and Jeremiah Fears in 6 (AST, STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Per 36 minutes, Jalen Green produces more: 38.2 fantasy points to 35.8, on 25.8 minutes a night against 25.5. He already plays as much or more, so the gap is not a role waiting to grow.
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jeremiah Fears 3. For that week alone, start Jeremiah Fears: 76.0 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jalen Green | Jeremiah Fears |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 27.4 | 25.3 |
| Minutes | 25.8 | 25.5 |
| PointsPTS | 17.3 | 13.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 3.5 | 3.6 |
| AssistsAST | 2.9 | 3.3 |
| StealsSTL | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Threes3PM | 2.2 | 1.2 |
| Field goal %FG% | 41.8% | 42.2% |
| Free throw %FT% | 74.7% | 78.5% |
| TurnoversTO | 2.2 | 2.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 32 | 82 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jalen Green | Jeremiah Fears |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 38.2 | 35.8 |
| Points | 24.1 | 19.6 |
| Rebounds | 4.9 | 5.1 |
| Assists | 4.0 | 4.6 |
| Steals | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Blocks | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Threes | 3.1 | 1.7 |
| Turnovers | 3.1 | 3.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jalen Green | Jeremiah Fears |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | +0.1 | -0.5 |
| ReboundsREB | -1.0 | -1.0 |
| AssistsAST | -0.4 | -0.2 |
| StealsSTL | -0.1 | +0.3 |
| BlocksBLK | -0.8 | -0.7 |
| Threes3PM | +0.6 | -0.4 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.8 | -1.3 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.4 | -0.1 |
| TurnoversTO | -0.5 | -0.3 |
| Total | -4.2 | -4.2 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting rebounds, assists, steals, blocks, field goal percentage, free throw percentage and turnovers flips the 9-cat answer to Jalen Green.
| Punt | Jalen Green | Jeremiah Fears |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -4.4 (#292) | -3.8 (#267) |
| REB | -3.4 (#215) | -3.5 (#217) |
| AST | -4.0 (#242) | -4.1 (#249) |
| STL | -4.3 (#257) | -4.6 (#273) |
| BLK | -3.6 (#201) | -3.7 (#209) |
| 3PM | -4.9 (#272) | -3.8 (#220) |
| FG% | -2.6 (#146) | -3.3 (#167) |
| FT% | -3.9 (#217) | -4.1 (#227) |
| TO | -3.8 (#166) | -4.0 (#175) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jalen Green: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
- Jeremiah Fears: 3 games (Wed IND, Fri @UTA, Sat @DEN), 1 back-to-back.
Recent games
- Jalen Green: 17.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board.
- Jeremiah Fears: 12.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 25.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jalen Green playing tonight? · Is Jeremiah Fears playing tonight?
Rookie cards: Jalen Green, Jeremiah Fears
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Green or Jeremiah Fears?
Points leagues: Jalen Green. 27.4 fantasy points per game against 25.3, 112th on our board to 132nd. 9-cat leagues: Jeremiah Fears instead, -4.2 in summed z-scores against -4.2 (224th to 226th), because the categories pay for a different mix.
Who wins more categories, Jalen Green or Jeremiah Fears?
Category by category, Jalen Green is ahead in 2 (PTS and 3PM) and Jeremiah Fears in 6 (AST, STL, BLK, FG%, FT% and TO).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Green or Jeremiah Fears?
Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Jeremiah Fears 3. For that week alone, start Jeremiah Fears: 76.0 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 1:54 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number