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Jalen Green vs Zach LaVine: who to start in Week 1

Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Zach LaVine 3. For that week alone, start Zach LaVine: 82.3 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green. Over the season, Zach LaVine leads in both formats: 27.4 fantasy points a game to 27.4, and 128th against 226th in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.

Updated Oct 22, 8:57 AM ET.

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Jalen Green
SGSFPHXage 24
Points leagues
#112
27.4 FP/G, slot 10.04, $8
9-cat leagues
#226
-4.2 z, slot 19.10
Zach LaVine
SGSFSACage 31
Points leagues
#111
27.4 FP/G, slot 10.03, $8
9-cat leagues
#128
-2.0 z, slot 11.08, $4

The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.

The call

Points leagues: Zach LaVine. 27.4 fantasy points per game against 27.4, 111th on our board to 112th.

9-cat leagues: Zach LaVine again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -4.2 (128th to 226th).

Category by category, Jalen Green is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, STL and BLK) and Zach LaVine in 5 (PTS, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

Per 36 minutes, Jalen Green produces more: 38.2 fantasy points to 31.3, on 25.8 minutes a night against 31.5. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.

Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Zach LaVine 3. For that week alone, start Zach LaVine: 82.3 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green.

Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.

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Per game, side by side

Per gameJalen GreenZach LaVine
Fantasy points per game27.427.4
Minutes25.831.5
PointsPTS17.319.7
ReboundsREB3.52.8
AssistsAST2.92.4
StealsSTL1.00.7
BlocksBLK0.30.2
Threes3PM2.22.6
Field goal %FG%41.8%48.3%
Free throw %FT%74.7%84.8%
TurnoversTO2.22.0
Games, 2025-263239

Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.

Per 36 minutes

Per 36Jalen GreenZach LaVine
Fantasy points38.231.3
Points24.122.5
Rebounds4.93.2
Assists4.02.7
Steals1.40.8
Blocks0.40.3
Threes3.12.9
Turnovers3.12.3

Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.

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9-category z-scores

CategoryJalen GreenZach LaVine
PointsPTS+0.1+0.6
ReboundsREB-1.0-1.3
AssistsAST-0.4-0.6
StealsSTL-0.1-1.0
BlocksBLK-0.8-0.9
Threes3PM+0.6+0.9
Field goal percentageFG%-1.8-0.1
Free throw percentageFT%-0.4+0.6
TurnoversTO-0.5-0.2
Total-4.2-2.0

Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.

If you punt a category

No punt changes the answer: Zach LaVine stays ahead whichever category you give up.

PuntJalen GreenZach LaVine
PTS-4.4 (#292)-2.6 (#200)
REB-3.4 (#215)-0.7 (#76)
AST-4.0 (#242)-1.6 (#123)
STL-4.3 (#257)-1.2 (#98)
BLK-3.6 (#201)-1.1 (#93)
3PM-4.9 (#272)-3.1 (#189)
FG%-2.6 (#146)-1.9 (#119)
FT%-3.9 (#217)-2.8 (#168)
TO-3.8 (#166)-1.9 (#106)

Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 391 ranked players.

Week 1 (Oct 19-25)

  • Jalen Green: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
  • Zach LaVine: 3 games (Wed @LAC, Fri POR, Sun MEM).

Jalen Green or Zach LaVine: the Week 1 start/sit call

Recent games

  • Jalen Green: 17.9 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board.
  • Zach LaVine: 34.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 27.4 on the board.

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Other picks at the same spot

NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers

Is Jalen Green playing tonight? · Is Zach LaVine playing tonight?

Rookie cards: Jalen Green, Zach LaVine

Common questions

  • Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jalen Green or Zach LaVine?

    Points leagues: Zach LaVine. 27.4 fantasy points per game against 27.4, 111th on our board to 112th. 9-cat leagues: Zach LaVine again, -2.0 in summed z-scores against -4.2 (128th to 226th).

  • Who wins more categories, Jalen Green or Zach LaVine?

    Category by category, Jalen Green is ahead in 4 (REB, AST, STL and BLK) and Zach LaVine in 5 (PTS, 3PM, FG%, FT% and TO).

  • Who should I start in Week 1, Jalen Green or Zach LaVine?

    Jalen Green plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Zach LaVine 3. For that week alone, start Zach LaVine: 82.3 projected fantasy points to 54.8 for Jalen Green.

By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 22, 2026 at 8:57 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number