Jordan Goodwin vs Marvin Bagley III: who to start in Week 1
Jordan Goodwin plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Marvin Bagley III 2. For that week alone, start Jordan Goodwin: 42.8 projected fantasy points to 42.7 for Marvin Bagley III. Over the season, Jordan Goodwin leads in both formats: 21.4 fantasy points a game to 21.3, and 148th against 201st in 9-cat. The two go close together on our board, which is our own ranking order from 2025-26 and 2026-27 box scores, not ADP.
Updated Oct 23, 3:53 PM ET. Rechecked every 30 minutes.
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- Points leagues
- #185
- 21.4 FP/G, slot 16.05
- 9-cat leagues
- #148
- -2.4 z, slot 13.04, $2
The pick in points and 9-cat leagues.
- Points leagues
- #186
- 21.3 FP/G, slot 16.06
- 9-cat leagues
- #201
- -3.7 z, slot 17.09
The call
Points leagues: Jordan Goodwin. 21.4 fantasy points per game against 21.3, 185th on our board to 186th.
9-cat leagues: Jordan Goodwin again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (148th to 201st).
Category by category, Jordan Goodwin is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Marvin Bagley III in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%).
Per 36 minutes, Marvin Bagley III produces more: 39.5 fantasy points to 34.3, on 19.5 minutes a night against 22.4. He does it in fewer minutes, so a bigger role would widen the gap.
Jordan Goodwin plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Marvin Bagley III 2. For that week alone, start Jordan Goodwin: 42.8 projected fantasy points to 42.7 for Marvin Bagley III.
Slots are where our board's order lands in a 12-team snake draft (round.pick), and dollars are auction value over replacement for 12 teams with $200 each. Neither is ADP: no free draft-position feed lets us republish it.
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Per game, side by side
| Per game | Jordan Goodwin | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points per game | 21.4 | 21.3 |
| Minutes | 22.4 | 19.5 |
| PointsPTS | 8.3 | 9.9 |
| ReboundsREB | 4.8 | 5.9 |
| AssistsAST | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| StealsSTL | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| BlocksBLK | 0.2 | 0.7 |
| Threes3PM | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| Field goal %FG% | 40.7% | 61.0% |
| Free throw %FT% | 69.6% | 66.0% |
| TurnoversTO | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Games, 2025-26 | 70 | 60 |
Bold is the better number. The line blends 2025-26 with 2026-27 games as they are played, the same numbers the rankings use.
Per 36 minutes
| Per 36 | Jordan Goodwin | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| Fantasy points | 34.3 | 39.5 |
| Points | 13.4 | 18.4 |
| Rebounds | 7.7 | 10.9 |
| Assists | 3.2 | 2.6 |
| Steals | 2.5 | 0.8 |
| Blocks | 0.3 | 1.2 |
| Threes | 2.5 | 0.7 |
| Turnovers | 1.6 | 2.0 |
Each per-game number divided by minutes and scaled to 36: the rate a bigger role would carry.
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9-category z-scores
| Category | Jordan Goodwin | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| PointsPTS | -1.4 | -1.1 |
| ReboundsREB | -0.4 | +0.1 |
| AssistsAST | -0.8 | -1.1 |
| StealsSTL | +1.5 | -1.6 |
| BlocksBLK | -1.0 | -0.0 |
| Threes3PM | -0.1 | -1.3 |
| Field goal percentageFG% | -1.0 | +1.4 |
| Free throw percentageFT% | -0.2 | -1.0 |
| TurnoversTO | +1.1 | +1.0 |
| Total | -2.4 | -3.7 |
Each number is standard deviations above or below the top 156 players (a 12-team league's rosters). Field goal and free throw percentage are weighted by attempts, and turnovers count against.
If you punt a category
Punting steals flips the 9-cat answer to Marvin Bagley III.
| Punt | Jordan Goodwin | Marvin Bagley III |
|---|---|---|
| PTS | -1.1 (#110) | -2.6 (#202) |
| REB | -2.1 (#140) | -4.1 (#254) |
| AST | -1.7 (#125) | -2.6 (#181) |
| STL | -3.9 (#229) | -2.2 (#150) |
| BLK | -1.6 (#114) | -4.0 (#230) |
| 3PM | -2.4 (#150) | -2.4 (#155) |
| FG% | -1.6 (#105) | -5.8 (#288) |
| FT% | -2.1 (#143) | -2.8 (#165) |
| TO | -3.6 (#157) | -5.0 (#209) |
Value is the sum of the other eight z-scores, recomputed with the punted category left out of the pool that sets them; the rank is among all 392 ranked players.
Week 1 (Oct 19-25)
- Jordan Goodwin: 2 games (Wed @POR, Sat GSW).
- Marvin Bagley III: 2 games (Thu @OKC, Sat NOP).
Recent games
- Jordan Goodwin: 12.8 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.4 on the board.
- Marvin Bagley III: 5.1 fantasy points a game over his last 1 of 2026-27, against 21.3 on the board.
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Other picks at the same spot
NBA fantasy rankings · Draft cheat sheet · Sleepers
Is Jordan Goodwin playing tonight? · Is Marvin Bagley III playing tonight?
Common questions
Who is better for the rest of the 2026-27 season, Jordan Goodwin or Marvin Bagley III?
Points leagues: Jordan Goodwin. 21.4 fantasy points per game against 21.3, 185th on our board to 186th. 9-cat leagues: Jordan Goodwin again, -2.4 in summed z-scores against -3.7 (148th to 201st).
Who wins more categories, Jordan Goodwin or Marvin Bagley III?
Category by category, Jordan Goodwin is ahead in 5 (AST, STL, 3PM, FT% and TO) and Marvin Bagley III in 4 (PTS, REB, BLK and FG%).
Who should I start in Week 1, Jordan Goodwin or Marvin Bagley III?
Jordan Goodwin plays 2 games in Week 1 (Oct 19-25), Marvin Bagley III 2. For that week alone, start Jordan Goodwin: 42.8 projected fantasy points to 42.7 for Marvin Bagley III.
By the Parlae deskBoard updated Oct 23, 2026 at 3:53 PM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number