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Start Joe Burrow or C.J. Stroud? Week 9

Updated Nov 4, 9:56 AM ET.

Early kickoff: 9:30 AM ET in Madrid, set your lineup before then.

Start Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud

Start

Joe Burrow

QB · CIN · at ATL

Market projects
21.3
fantasy pts
ATL D vs QB
15.9
12th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
High
90 of 100 at QB
Snap share
99%
Through Week 8
Sit

C.J. Stroud

QB · HOU · at LAC

Market projects
16.9
fantasy pts
LAC D vs QB
14.3
8th fewest to QBs (2026)
Upside
Moderate
48 of 100 at QB
Snap share
100%
Through Week 7

Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Joe Burrow?

Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games) and Joe Burrow 156 (17.3 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud, 21.3 to 16.9 projected PPR points.

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Joe Burrow rookie cardsC.J. Stroud rookie cards

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Our Week 9 call

Start Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 21.3 points and C.J. Stroud at 16.9, a gap of 4.4. Drafters take Joe Burrow at ADP 55 and C.J. Stroud at 185.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for C.J. Stroud is 248 passing yards, 1-2 passing touchdowns, 8 rushing yards and 0.1 rushing touchdowns (9, 9, 9 and 9 market sources).

Player markets imply 21.3 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market-based projection for Joe Burrow is 271 passing yards, 2-3 passing touchdowns, 6 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns (13, 14, 4 and 13 market sources).

That puts Joe Burrow 4.4 points ahead of C.J. Stroud on the market projections.

Week 9 matchups

C.J. Stroud and HOU visit LAC on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

LAC allowed 14.3 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 7 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 208 yards and 1.1 touchdowns a game against LAC, with 0.9 interceptions a game.

Joe Burrow and CIN visit ATL on Sunday at 9:30 AM ET.

ATL allowed 16.0 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 8 games, the 12th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 238 yards and 1.4 touchdowns a game against ATL, with 0.4 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Joe Burrow has the softer matchup.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 7, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 266 times and threw an average of 9.3 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 5 against TEN: 66 of 66 snaps, 26 of 34 passes for 261 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 6 against JAX: 63 of 63 snaps, 24 of 34 passes for 312 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 7 against NYG: 61 of 61 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 153 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Through Week 8, Joe Burrow played 99 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 289 times and threw an average of 7.6 air yards per attempt.

Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 5 against MIA: 65 of 65 snaps, 23 of 32 passes for 190 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 7 against BAL: 50 of 53 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 292 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Joe Burrow, Week 8 against TEN: 74 of 74 snaps, 38 of 48 passes for 462 yards, 5 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.

He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop C.J. Stroud for Joe Burrow?

    Not on these numbers alone. C.J. Stroud projects 152 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (16.9 a game over 9 games) and Joe Burrow 156 (17.3 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud, 21.3 to 16.9 projected PPR points.

  • Should I drop Joe Burrow for C.J. Stroud?

    Not on these numbers alone. Joe Burrow projects 156 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (17.3 a game over 9 games) and C.J. Stroud 152 (16.9 a game over 9 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 9 the call starts Joe Burrow over C.J. Stroud, 21.3 to 16.9 projected PPR points.

Should I drop C.J. Stroud?

Week 9 on the board

Elsewhere on the board