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Start Josh Allen or Matthew Stafford? Week 9

Updated Nov 3, 12:41 AM ET.

Latest

  • : Matthew Stafford: Listed Questionable (Arm) (Sleeper injury feed)

Start Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford

Start

Josh Allen

QB · BUF · at MIN

Market projects
23.9
recent weeks avg
MIN D vs QB
8.8
fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 8
Sit

Matthew Stafford

QB · LAR · at WAS · Questionable

Market projects
17.8
recent weeks avg
WAS D vs QB
22.7
2nd most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
98%
Through Week 8

Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Josh Allen?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

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Our Week 9 call

Start Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford in Week 9.

Market-based projections have Josh Allen at 23.9 points and Matthew Stafford at 17.8, a gap of 6.2. No player market is posted for Josh Allen this week yet, so his 23.9 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6 and 8 (23.6 and 24.3); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. No player market is posted for Matthew Stafford this week yet, so his 17.8 is the average of his market-based projections in Weeks 6, 7 and 8 (21.1, 16.5 and 15.7); the call is rebuilt when his market posts. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 31 and Matthew Stafford at 75.

What the market projects

No Week 9 player market is posted for Josh Allen yet. His market-based projections were 23.6 and 24.3 points in Weeks 6 and 8, an average of 24.0, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

The market-based projection for Josh Allen is 0.9 touchdowns (5 market sources).

No Week 9 player market is posted for Matthew Stafford yet. His market-based projections were 21.1, 16.5 and 15.7 points in Weeks 6, 7 and 8, an average of 17.8, which stands in until his Week 9 market posts.

That puts Josh Allen 6.2 points ahead of Matthew Stafford on these projections.

Week 9 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF visit MIN on Monday at 8:15 PM ET.

MIN allowed 8.8 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 181 yards and 0-1 touchdowns a game against MIN, with 1.2 interceptions a game.

Matthew Stafford and LAR visit WAS on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

WAS allowed 22.7 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 6 games, the 2nd most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 266 yards and 2-3 touchdowns a game against WAS, with 0.5 interceptions a game.

By points allowed to the position, Matthew Stafford has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is listed as questionable with a arm injury.

Usage before Week 9

Through Week 8, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 237 times and threw an average of 9.0 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 4 against NE: 59 of 59 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 5 against LAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 12 of 19 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 10 carries for 121 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 6 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 23 of 33 passes for 255 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 4 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 8 against BAL: 21 of 34 passes for 289 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 7 carries for 30 yards.

Through Week 8, Matthew Stafford played 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 316 times and threw an average of 7.7 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 5 against BUF: 82 of 82 snaps, 40 of 54 passes for 383 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 6 against ARI: 58 of 58 snaps, 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Matthew Stafford, Week 7 against LV: 72 of 72 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.

Matthew Stafford, Week 8 against LAC: 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 9 calls

Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 9, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Josh Allen?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Josh Allen projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

  • Should I drop Josh Allen for Matthew Stafford?

    No. Keep Josh Allen: he projects 212 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (23.5 a game over 9 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Josh Allen over Matthew Stafford. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.

Should I drop Matthew Stafford?

Week 8 on the board

Elsewhere on the board