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The Sentry 2025 Results and Fantasy Golf Rankings

Hideki Matsuyama won the 2025 The Sentry at -35, played Jan 2-5 at Kapalua Resort (Plantation Course) in Kapalua, HI (par 73, 7,596 yards). Before the first round the model ranked him 40 of 59. The 2027 edition is Jan 27-30, and this page ranks its field when it is posted.

Final results beside the model's ranking

Ratings as of Dec 22, 2024
FinishModel rankGolferProj. finishFormCourseRecent finishes
14031+0.77-0.581 start, best 58T46T9CUT1T66
2220+1.04+0.211 start, best T5T542T28T22T16
33
Sungjae Im
South Korea
22+0.74+0.271 start, best T5T9T137T11T40
445
33+0.02debutT57CUTT11T52T23
T51126+0.81-0.091 start, best T33T6T7T22T50T25
T520
27+0.97-0.371 start, best T476T1716T2T40
T544
33+0.04debutT36T13T37CUTT30
T81526+0.72-0.071 start, best T33T14T12T2T5T12
T82528+0.54debut1T17T6CUTT16
T832
Harry Hall
England
29+0.37debutT14T13T9T35T18
T83631+0.25+0.021 start, best T3313T43T61T22T31
T84232+0.16-0.011 start, best T38T45T56CUTT7T29
T132327+0.57debut8T14T13T225
T1351
Cam Davis
Australia
38-0.17-0.241 start, best T52CUTT6CUTT5T40
T15724+0.63+0.201 start, best T1211T17T13T12T25
T158
Adam Scott
Australia
25+0.80debutT3T46T57T4T2
T151326+0.68debut7T7T19T25T12
T1522
Aaron Rai
England
27+0.58debutT14CUTT4T42T23
T1527
28+0.25+0.271 start, best T12T9CUTT29T38T27
T152828+0.61-0.101 start, best T38T23T13T16T12CUT

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FinishModel rankGolferProj. finishFormCourseRecent finishes
T153129+0.33+0.061 start, best T29T17CUT8T13T7
T153330+0.29debutT171T46T46T18
T153931+0.42-0.211 start, best T455T211T59T22
T241726+0.64debut4T2T28T332
T242628+0.32+0.211 start, best T14CUTT35T27T28T18
T26624+0.88debut3T2T14T39T30
T263430+0.01+0.271 start, best T14T14T27CUTT3370
T264333+0.08debutT18T41T13T12CUT
2941
32-0.13+0.301 start, best T14T53CUTT41T50T28
T30116+1.57+0.061 start, best T10T41T4T5T21
T303831+0.64-0.411 start, best T52T19T4T22T305
T325
Byeong Hun An
South Korea
23+0.63+0.351 start, best 41T18T21T13T33
T3212
Si Woo Kim
South Korea
26+0.67+0.041 start, best T25CUTT6T18T5T50
T321426+0.50+0.171 start, best T1442645T12CUT
T3237
31+0.08+0.161 start, best T25T2T29T61CUT
T36423+0.54+0.461 start, best 28T56T7348
T361827+0.48+0.131 start, best T22T12T26T2CUTT46
T362427+0.56debutT60T5T41T33T12
T364634-0.01debutCUT2T23T39T40
T40925+0.43+0.341 start, best T5T51T33T33CUT
T401927+0.61debutT36T6T29T33T22
T4021
Jason Day
Australia
27+0.29+0.311 start, best T10T19T8T33T22T13
T405037-0.35debutT66CUTCUTT43T11
T441626+0.04+0.611 start, best a winCUTT35T27T9T50
T4447
Kevin Yu
Chinese Taipei
34-0.02debutT11CUTT16CUT1
T463530+0.45-0.171 start, best T43T25T269T33CUT
T465540-0.59debutT7145CUTCUTT22
T484834-0.08debutT17T5762T52T40
T4852
39-0.31-0.221 start, best T52CUTT33T54T25CUT
T485339-0.56debutCUTCUTCUTT63T41
512928+0.48debut47CUTCUT1T23
523029+0.21+0.231 start, best T14T15T6CUTT16CUT
T535440-0.57debutCUTCUT1T63
T535943-0.97debutCUTCUTCUTCUTCUT
554935-0.18debut16T28T31T5CUT
565741-0.76debutT6867CUTT24T52
5756
Rafael Campos
Puerto Rico
41-0.72debutCUT1CUTCUTCUT
581025+0.42+0.341 start, best T512T2525T50T45
CUT5843-0.79-0.121 start, best T52CUT73T41CUTT38

Course profile

Course
Kapalua Resort (Plantation Course)
Where
Kapalua, HI, USA
Par
73
Length
7,596 yards
Purse
$20.0M
Format
4 rounds, no cut
Defending champion
Chris Kirk

Past winners and scoring

YearWinnerScoreField avg.Course
2025Hideki Matsuyama-3568.74 (-4.26)Kapalua Resort (Plantation Course), par 73, 7,596 yds
2024Chris Kirk-2968.36 (-4.64)Kapalua Resort (Plantation Course), par 73, 7,596 yds

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How the ranking works

Each round is scored against how hard that round played: its difficulty is fitted from every score in it and the skill of the golfers who posted them, so beating a weekend field of cut survivors, or a PGA Tour field rather than a weaker one, counts for more. Zero is an average PGA Tour round. A golfer's form rating is his average against that difficulty over the last 2 years, with a round 180 days old counting half as much as a new one, blended with 12 rounds at -1.0 so a handful of good days cannot top the board. Course history is how much better or worse he has played at this tournament than his own rating, shrunk as if he had 16 more average rounds there. The ranking is form plus course history. The projected finish treats every round as his rating plus or minus 2.9 strokes and counts how many of the field he would be expected to beat. ESPN publishes no strokes-gained data, so none is used.

Window
730 days of rounds
Half-life
180 days
Prior
12 rounds at -1.0
Course history shrink
16 rounds
Round spread
2.9 strokes
Rounds fitted
93,497 rounds, 2,201 golfers
Tour field gap
PGA Tour fields 0.42 strokes a round stronger than DP World Tour fields

By the Parlae deskRankings updated Oct 14, 2026 at 8:13 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number